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Columna de Opinión: vaso medio vacío/vaso medio lleno

Columna de Opinión: vaso medio vacío/vaso medio lleno

Hace un par de días titulé una noticia del partido de Deportes Valdivia ante Santiago Morning de la siguiente manera «El Torreón mantiene el invicto tras el retorno del fútbol» que analizado fríamente es verdad innegable puesto que desde la fecha 5 a la 10 ha sumado 1 triunfo y 5 empates totalizándose 8 unidades de 24 posibles.

Suena raro para algunos aficionados y para los más Bilardistas es un acto dramático señalar que un invicto se compone principalmente de empates. Si vemos la mitad del vaso medio lleno, efectivamente Valdivia no sabe de derrotas y ha tenido gran rotación de jugadores que pese a la cantidad de jugadores que dispone en su plantel ha sabido afrontar este torneo, el cual exige jugar a mitad de semana y luego sábado o domingo donde no existe el mayor descanso.

 

A este punto puede añadirse que el entrenador Jürgen Press no ha tranzado en su modelo de juego que tras el retorno ante Deportes Puerto Montt en Temuco, siempre elige 4 defensores y 3 mediocampistas de características similares desechando el rombo de inicios de torneo, una propuesta de fútbol pragmática consistente en esperar al rival y aprovechar sus falencias para ser poseedor de las acciones e ir en búsqueda del gol.

El otro acierto que ha tenido este plantel es la presencia goleadora de Matías Zamora con 4 goles. Jugador bastante activo y participativo y que lidera al Torreón en el ataque aunque ya se habla de una posible partida.

Si comparamos la fecha 10 de 2019 con la de 2020, Valdivia tiene la misma cantidad de puntaje a 9 puntos del líder (Cobreloa año pasado Rangers hoy), la diferencia radical es que existe una ponderación traicionera que no permite respirar tranquilo al hincha ni menos a quienes visten de corto cuando salen al terreno de juego.

A partir de esto comienza la mitad del vaso media vacío. No sirve de nada comparar la misma fecha del año pasado puesto que hoy la tarea es no descender. El 2019 fue un año fatídico donde el Torreón partió primero hasta la fecha 5 y luego cayó lentamente hasta ser habituales en el sótano de la tabla. Para bien de todos no hubo descenso por el cese tras el estallido social.

La ANFP señaló a principio de año que el descenso se establecería con una fórmula matemática de ponderaciones. El puntaje 2019 dividido por cantidad de partidos jugados por 0,6, a no olvidar ese dígito resultado que da 0,42. El puntaje 2020 valdrá 0,4 por ende hay que hacer arriba de 42 puntos para soñar con la permanencia.

Por ende la tarea de salvar la categoría es titánica y los empates no aportan mayor valor en la fórmula. A principio de año el Portal Aguante Valdivia explicó a cuántos puntos está el Torreón de sus cercanos rivales en la tabla del descenso y las cifras son cruciales: Magallanes 11 puntos, Rangers y San Luis 15 puntos mientras que el ascendido San Marcos de Arica dependen de si mismos y registrar mas de 30 puntos para salvarse.

Varios comentan ¿Santa Cruz también está en zona roja? Les respondo que no, el año pasado hicieron 37 puntos. ¿Santiago Morning? No, hicieron 34. Valdivia hizo 19 puntos en 27 partidos.

Entonces vienen las inquietudes y los porqué no se pudo aguantar el resultado ante San Luis de Quillota y Cobreloa en el estadio Parque Municipal, cómo pudo darse el marcador ante Barnechea cuando Valdivia comenzó en ventaja 2-0 o cómo no pudo ganar a Deportes Temuco y Santiago Morning cuando perfectamente se podía. Claramente esos 5 puntos pudieron transformarse en 15, otro gallo cantaría pero eso ya es perfección y en la Primera B eso no existe.

¿Qué queda entonces? En el mejor de los casos ganar de local y empatar de visita, esperar que los equipos comprometidos en el descenso pierdan puntaje y que antes de la fecha 25 respirar con alivio. Quedan 54 puntos en juego. Hoy por hoy Valdivia juega el domingo con Magallanes y como dicen los romanticos del fútbol: partido de 1000 puntos.

En la siguiente imagen está la tabla de descenso con su proyección a 28 partidos.

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Pablo Cárdenas

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